Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Name: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov
End: 2026-10-21T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$42.46K

Events

Markets

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Vol

$42.46K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $42.46K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $42.46K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	86%
Minaur vs. Khachanov: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	64%
Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	59%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov	Poly	55%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov	Poly	54%
Minaur vs. Khachanov: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	54%
Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov	Poly	53%
Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov	Poly	53%
Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Karen Khachanov (+1.5)	Poly	49%
Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Minaur vs. Khachanov: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	47%
Alex de Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	42%
Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	34%
Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Karen Khachanov (+1.5)	Poly	33%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$42.46K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Karen Khachanov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (1

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 21, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Karen Khachanov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Karen Khachanov.

This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Alex de Minaur.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (1

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Karen Khachanov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Karen Khachanov.

This market will resolve to 'Ka"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $42.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $391.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $41.9K
  DATA: [Alex de Minaur: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [Karen Khachanov: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Alex de Minaur: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [Karen Khachanov: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Alex de Minaur: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [Karen Khachanov: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Alex de Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $188
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $19
  DATA: [Over: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Minaur vs. Khachanov: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $48
  DATA: [Over: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Minaur vs. Khachanov: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Minaur vs. Khachanov: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Karen Khachanov (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $230
  DATA: [Alex de Minaur: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [Karen Khachanov: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Karen Khachanov (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $47
  DATA: [Alex de Minaur: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Karen Khachanov: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Volume$42.46K

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

POLYMARKET

Alex de Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Alex de Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Karen Khachanov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, a

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Oct 21, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

52¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/r-WH-t" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov"></iframe>

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

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Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Markets (16)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Alex de Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Alex de Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Minaur vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

Alex de Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Alex de Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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