What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? | PredictPedia

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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Name: What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
End: 2026-03-03T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$35.37K

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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

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Polymarket

markets · $35.37K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $35.37K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	8%
Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	4%
Will "Prometheus" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	3%
Will "The Addams Family 2" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	2%
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	2%
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	2%
Will "Fall" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$35.37K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by March 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 1, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 3, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by March 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $35.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.86)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "Prometheus" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 3, 2026): Vol $853
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "The Addams Family 2" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 3, 2026): Vol $689
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 3, 2026): Vol $932
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 3, 2026): Vol $225
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 3, 2026): Vol $796
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 3, 2026): Vol $31.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will "Fall" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 3, 2026): Vol $553
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

1d 3h remaining

Mar 03, 2026 12:00 AM

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3¢

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