Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

UEFA Nations League: Group A1 Winner

Total Volume

$65.77

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UEFA Nations League: Group A1 Winner

Vol

$65.77

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $65.77

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $65.77

100%

Kalshi leads

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4 markets tracked

Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?	Kalshi	84%
Will Italy finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?	Kalshi	40%
Will Belgium finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?	Kalshi	40%
Will Turkiye finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

84%

Top Probability

$65.77

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Group A1 If X finish first in Group A1 in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after results are declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UEFA Nations League: Group A1 Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Group A1

If X finish first in Group A1 in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after results are declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Turkiye finish first in Group A1 in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the proper"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $66
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Turkiye finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Italy finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $64
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Belgium finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

UEFA Nations League: Group A1 Winner

Volume$65.77

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

If France finish first in Group A1 in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the propert

KALSHI

Will Italy finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Italy finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

If Italy finish first in Group A1 in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property

KALSHI

Will Belgium finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Belgium finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

If Belgium finish first in Group A1 in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the proper

KALSHI

Will Turkiye finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Turkiye finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

If Turkiye finish first in Group A1 in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the proper

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Average Yes Price

47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/r2DRFv" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UEFA Nations League: Group A1 Winner"></iframe>

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UEFA Nations League: Group A1 Winner

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Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UEFA Nations League: Group A1 Winner

Markets (4)

Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Italy finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Italy finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Belgium finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Belgium finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Turkiye finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Turkiye finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

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Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UEFA Nations League: Group A1 Winner

Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will France finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Italy finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Italy finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Belgium finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Belgium finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Turkiye finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Will Turkiye finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A1?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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