This prediction market topic asks whether Arsenal Football Club will win at least one major trophy during the 2025–26 season. The market specifically tracks four competitions: the English Premier League, the UEFA Champions League, the Carabao Cup (the English Football League Cup), and the FA Cup. A 'Yes' resolution requires Arsenal to be officially crowned champion of any one of these tournaments. The market will resolve to 'No' immediately if Arsenal becomes mathematically incapable of winning all four listed competitions. This question captures a central narrative in English football, examining whether a club with a storied history can end a significant trophy drought and validate a multi-year rebuilding project under manager Mikel Arteta. Interest stems from Arsenal's return to consistent top-four Premier League finishes and Champions League qualification, coupled with near-misses in recent title races. The club's substantial financial investment in its squad, including record signings like Declan Rice, has raised expectations. The topic also intersects with broader discussions about competitive balance in European football, where a small group of elite clubs typically dominate the highest honors. For fans and analysts, the season represents a critical test of whether Arsenal can convert potential into silverware.

Historical Context

Arsenal's last Premier League title was in the 2003-04 'Invincibles' season under Arsène Wenger, marking a drought of over two decades. Their most recent major trophy was the 2020 FA Cup, won under Mikel Arteta in his first season. The club experienced a pronounced decline in the late 2010s, finishing 8th in the Premier League in 2019-20 and 2020-21, which excluded them from European competition entirely for the first time in 25 years. This period prompted the strategic shift towards Arteta's rebuild. Historically, Arsenal was a cup specialist, holding the record for most FA Cup wins with 14. However, their record in the Champions League is a point of contention; they have never won the competition, with their best finish being runners-up in 2006. The League Cup (Carabao Cup) has been won twice, in 1987 and 1993. The current project is often compared to the early Wenger era, which delivered a league and cup double in 1998 after a period of investment and cultural change. The prolonged gap since their last league title creates intense pressure on the current team to end it.

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