Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEarnings

Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?

Name: Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?
End: 2026-03-10T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.17K

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Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?

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Polymarket

markets · $2.17K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.17K

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?	Poly	56%

AI Analysis

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56%

Top Probability

$2.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

As of market creation, Groupon is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Groupon's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.16 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Groupon reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.16 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Groupon releases earning

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?
**Category:** Earnings | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 10, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** As of market creation, Groupon is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Groupon's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.16 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Groupon reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.16 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Groupon releases earning

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"As of market creation, Groupon is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Groupon's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.16 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Groupon reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.16 for the relevant quarter i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 10, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

8d 13h remaining

Mar 10, 2026 9:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

56¢

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Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?

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Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)