Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bank of America 400 Winner

Total Volume

$2.68M

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Bank of America 400 Winner

Vol

$2.68M

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.68M

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.68M

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

39 markets tracked

Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(39)

Market	Platform	Price
Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins	Kalshi	54%
Cup Series: Chase Briscoe wins	Kalshi	28%
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin wins	Kalshi	15%
Cup Series: Kyle Larson wins	Kalshi	6%
Cup Series: Tyler Reddick wins	Kalshi	4%
Cup Series: Ryan Blaney wins	Kalshi	4%
Cup Series: Chase Elliott wins	Kalshi	2%
Cup Series: Josh Berry wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Joey Logano wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: B.J. McLeod wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Connor Zilisch wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Corey Heim wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ty Gibbs wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Carson Hocevar wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Zane Smith wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Riley Herbst wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Todd Gilliland wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Noah Gragson wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: William Byron wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Austin Cindric wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Austin Hill wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Cody Ware wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Daniel Suarez wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Gray Gaulding wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Cole Custer wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: John Hunter Nemechek wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ryan Preece wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Erik Jones wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Alex Bowman wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Bubba Wallace wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ty Dillon wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Chris Buescher wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Shane van Gisbergen wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Austin Dillon wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Michael McDowell wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: AJ Allmendinger wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Brad Keselowski wins	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ross Chastain wins	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$2.68M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Bank of America 400 ('26) If X finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to N

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bank of America 400 Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Bank of America 400 ('26)

If X finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to N

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If B.J. McLeod finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinatio"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.68M
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Cup Series: B.J. McLeod wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $574
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Cup Series: Connor Zilisch wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $10.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Cup Series: Corey Heim wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $120.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Cup Series: Ty Gibbs wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $98.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Cup Series: Carson Hocevar wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $137.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Cup Series: Zane Smith wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Cup Series: Riley Herbst wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $952
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Cup Series: Todd Gilliland wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Cup Series: Chase Briscoe wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $162.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Cup Series: Noah Gragson wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Cup Series: William Byron wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $148.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Cup Series: Austin Cindric wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $172.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $214.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Cup Series: Austin Hill wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Cup Series: Cody Ware wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $703
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Cup Series: Josh Berry wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $93.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Cup Series: Daniel Suarez wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $86.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Cup Series: Gray Gaulding wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $623
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Cup Series: Cole Custer wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $597
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Cup Series: John Hunter Nemechek wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Cup Series: Ryan Preece wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $10.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Cup Series: Tyler Reddick wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $153.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Cup Series: Erik Jones wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Cup Series: Chase Elliott wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $97.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Cup Series: Alex Bowman wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $90.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Cup Series: Kyle Larson wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $209.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Cup Series: Bubba Wallace wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $124.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Cup Series: Ryan Blaney wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $175.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Cup Series: Ty Dillon wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Cup Series: Chris Buescher wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $59.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Cup Series: Shane van Gisbergen wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $93.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Cup Series: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $7.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Cup Series: Austin Dillon wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $39.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Cup Series: Joey Logano wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $101.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Cup Series: Michael McDowell wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Cup Series: Denny Hamlin wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $169.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Cup Series: AJ Allmendinger wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Cup Series: Brad Keselowski wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $17.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Cup Series: Ross Chastain wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $50.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bank of America 400 Winner

Volume$2.68M

Markets39

39 of 39

Sort:

KALSHI

Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins

If Christopher Bell finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determi

KALSHI

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe wins

If Chase Briscoe finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinat

KALSHI

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin wins

If Denny Hamlin finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinati

KALSHI

Cup Series: Kyle Larson wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Kyle Larson wins

If Kyle Larson finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinatio

KALSHI

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick wins

If Tyler Reddick finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinat

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Average Yes Price

3¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/rGwFAJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bank of America 400 Winner"></iframe>

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Bank of America 400 Winner

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Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Bank of America 400 Winner

Markets (39)

Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins

Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe wins

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe wins

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin wins

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin wins

Cup Series: Kyle Larson wins

Cup Series: Kyle Larson wins

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick wins

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick wins

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins

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Bank of America 400 Winner

Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins

Cup Series: Christopher Bell wins

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe wins

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe wins

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin wins

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin wins

Cup Series: Kyle Larson wins

Cup Series: Kyle Larson wins

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick wins

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick wins

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