This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

Name: Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.02M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

Vol

$1.02M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.02M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.02M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Poly	24%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	Poly	9%
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	Poly	6%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	Poly	6%
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	Poly	4%
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?	Poly	4%
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?	Poly	4%
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

24%

Top Probability

$1.02M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.

For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Druzkhivka (https://maps.app.goo.gl/cH9ekgbf9qbxGPUk6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified lay"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.02M
* **Total Liquidity:** $81.8K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 12.44)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $276.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $134.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $59.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $157.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $75.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $198.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $37.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $77.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

Volume$1.02M

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Dopropillia (https://maps.app.goo.gl/vipjg3UsWpqRnhM6A) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. This market refers to the city of Dobropillia (48.47, 37.08) which borders Sviatohorivka and Hannivka. Other Ukr

POLYMARKET

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Druzkhivka (https://maps.app.goo.gl/cH9ekgbf9qbxGPUk6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified lay

POLYMARKET

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kramatorsk (https://maps.app.goo.gl/TVY1bAwoc98W2L949) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified lay

POLYMARKET

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Sloviansk (https://maps.app.goo.gl/Kx9MMw32sFDPUt8f9) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified laye

POLYMARKET

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 4.3¢No 95.8¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of the city of Zaporizhia (https://maps.app.goo.gl/Gezpp2b4SDnefJ5s9) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below s

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

7¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/rNybPv" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?