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GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsSports

Serie A Winner

Name: Serie A Winner
End: 2026-05-28T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.46M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Serie A Winner

Vol

$3.46M

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.46M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.4%avg

max 0.5%

Price gaps

of 3 cross-platform

Calculate

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.46M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Needs review

This pair needs a current review of its rules, outcomes and deadlines.

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(3)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Needs review	100%	100%	0%
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Needs review	0%	1%	0%
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Needs review	0%	1%	0%

Single-Platform Markets(17)

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$3.46M

Volume

Markets

27.9%

Price Gap

About This Event

On May 24, 2026 If X wins the Serie A, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Serie A Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On May 24, 2026

If X wins the Serie A, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Napoli wins the Serie A, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.49M
* **Total Liquidity:** $38.7K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 38.49)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (3 mkts) vs Kalshi (20 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Napoli win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $663.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Inter win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $524.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Milan win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $300.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Roma win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Atalanta win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lazio win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Fiorentina win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Bologna win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Como win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Torino win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Sassuolo win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Parma Calcio win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Udinese win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Cagliari win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Hellas Verona win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Pisa win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Genoa win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Lecce win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Cremonese win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Juventus win the Serie A?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Needs review: 20 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

KALSHISports

Serie A Winner

Volume$0.00

Markets20

POLYMARKETSports

Serie A League Winner

This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 Serie A league (soccer).

Volume$3.46M

Markets3

20 of 20

Sort:

Needs review

This pair needs a current review of its rules, outcomes and deadlines.

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Inter win the Serie A?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average99.7%

Polymarket+0.5 pp

100.0%

Kalshi

99.5%

Difference:0.5 pp

Polymarket higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Inter win the Serie A?

If Inter wins the Serie A, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Serie A. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the leagu

KALSHI

Will Roma win the Serie A?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Roma win the Serie A?

If Roma wins the Serie A, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

KALSHI

Will Atalanta win the Serie A?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Atalanta win the Serie A?

If Atalanta wins the Serie A, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

KALSHI

Will Lazio win the Serie A?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Lazio win the Serie A?

If Lazio wins the Serie A, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

KALSHI

Will Fiorentina win the Serie A?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Fiorentina win the Serie A?

If Fiorentina wins the Serie A, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

Largest saved gap: 0.5 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Serie A Winner