Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

How many Codex resets week of October 5?

Name: How many Codex resets week of October 5?
End: 2026-10-12T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.02K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How many Codex resets week of October 5?

Vol

$2.02K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.02K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.02K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?	Poly	59%
Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?	Poly	31%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$2.02K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 5, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 11, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many Codex resets week of October 5?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 12, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 5, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 11, 2026.

Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total.

A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 5, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 11, 2026.

Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be c"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $578
* **Total Liquidity:** $57
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $339
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $238
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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