Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

ATP Shanghai Winner

Total Volume

$46.05K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

ATP Shanghai Winner

Vol

$46.05K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $46.05K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $46.05K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins	Kalshi	45%
ATP Shanghai: Alexander Zverev wins	Kalshi	26%
ATP Shanghai: Daniil Medvedev wins	Kalshi	9%
ATP Shanghai: Arthur Fils wins	Kalshi	5%
ATP Shanghai: Jakub Mensik wins	Kalshi	5%
ATP Shanghai: Taylor Fritz wins	Kalshi	5%
ATP Shanghai: Casper Ruud wins	Kalshi	5%
ATP Shanghai: Rafael Jodar wins	Kalshi	4%
ATP Shanghai: Karen Khachanov wins	Kalshi	4%
ATP Shanghai: Alex de Minaur wins	Kalshi	4%
ATP Shanghai: Jiri Lehecka wins	Kalshi	4%
ATP Shanghai: Felix Auger-Aliassime wins	Kalshi	4%
ATP Shanghai: Arthur Gea wins	Kalshi	4%
ATP Shanghai: Zizou Bergs wins	Kalshi	4%
ATP Shanghai: Stefanos Tsitsipas wins	Kalshi	4%
ATP Shanghai: Alexander Bublik wins	Kalshi	3%
ATP Shanghai: Learner Tien wins	Kalshi	3%
ATP Shanghai: Hubert Hurkacz wins	Kalshi	3%
ATP Shanghai: Tommy Paul wins	Kalshi	2%
ATP Shanghai: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins	Kalshi	2%
ATP Shanghai: Valentin Vacherot wins	Kalshi	1%
ATP Shanghai: Pablo Carreno Busta wins	Kalshi	1%
ATP Shanghai: Botic Van de Zandschulp wins	Kalshi	1%
ATP Shanghai: Dalibor Svrcina wins	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$46.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 ATP Shanghai If X wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or i

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** ATP Shanghai Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 ATP Shanghai

If X wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or i

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rafael Jodar wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $46.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. ATP Shanghai: Rafael Jodar wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $305
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. ATP Shanghai: Learner Tien wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. ATP Shanghai: Arthur Fils wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $26
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $32.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. ATP Shanghai: Jiri Lehecka wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. ATP Shanghai: Felix Auger-Aliassime wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. ATP Shanghai: Daniil Medvedev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. ATP Shanghai: Valentin Vacherot wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. ATP Shanghai: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. ATP Shanghai: Tommy Paul wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. ATP Shanghai: Taylor Fritz wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $824
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. ATP Shanghai: Casper Ruud wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. ATP Shanghai: Karen Khachanov wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. ATP Shanghai: Alex de Minaur wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. ATP Shanghai: Alexander Bublik wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. ATP Shanghai: Alexander Zverev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. ATP Shanghai: Jakub Mensik wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. ATP Shanghai: Arthur Gea wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. ATP Shanghai: Botic Van de Zandschulp wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. ATP Shanghai: Zizou Bergs wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. ATP Shanghai: Hubert Hurkacz wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. ATP Shanghai: Pablo Carreno Busta wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. ATP Shanghai: Stefanos Tsitsipas wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $621
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. ATP Shanghai: Dalibor Svrcina wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

ATP Shanghai Winner

Volume$46.05K

Markets24

24 of 24

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KALSHI

ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHISports

ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins

If Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action

KALSHI

ATP Shanghai: Alexander Zverev wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢

KALSHISports

ATP Shanghai: Alexander Zverev wins

If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official actio

KALSHI

ATP Shanghai: Daniil Medvedev wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHISports

ATP Shanghai: Daniil Medvedev wins

If Daniil Medvedev wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action

KALSHI

ATP Shanghai: Arthur Fils wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHISports

ATP Shanghai: Arthur Fils wins

If Arthur Fils wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action tha

KALSHI

ATP Shanghai: Jakub Mensik wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHISports

ATP Shanghai: Jakub Mensik wins

If Jakub Mensik wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action th

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6¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/r_djdb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="ATP Shanghai Winner"></iframe>

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ATP Shanghai Winner

ATP Shanghai Winner

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ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

ATP Shanghai Winner

Markets (24)

ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins

ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins

ATP Shanghai: Alexander Zverev wins

ATP Shanghai: Alexander Zverev wins

ATP Shanghai: Daniil Medvedev wins

ATP Shanghai: Daniil Medvedev wins

ATP Shanghai: Arthur Fils wins

ATP Shanghai: Arthur Fils wins

ATP Shanghai: Jakub Mensik wins

ATP Shanghai: Jakub Mensik wins

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ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins

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ATP Shanghai Winner

ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins

ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins

ATP Shanghai: Alexander Zverev wins

ATP Shanghai: Alexander Zverev wins

ATP Shanghai: Daniil Medvedev wins

ATP Shanghai: Daniil Medvedev wins

ATP Shanghai: Arthur Fils wins

ATP Shanghai: Arthur Fils wins

ATP Shanghai: Jakub Mensik wins

ATP Shanghai: Jakub Mensik wins

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