New pandemic in 2026? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

New pandemic in 2026?

Name: New pandemic in 2026?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$231.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

New pandemic in 2026?

Vol

$231.47K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $231.47K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $231.47K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

New pandemic in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
New pandemic in 2026?	Poly	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

12%

Top Probability

$231.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New pandemic in 2026?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (259 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $231.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $30.5K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.60)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. New pandemic in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $231.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

258d 18h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

12¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/refks_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New pandemic in 2026?"></iframe>

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New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

New pandemic in 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)