Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent

Total Volume

$6.54K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent

Vol

$6.54K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.54K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.54K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?	Kalshi	91%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?	Kalshi	63%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?	Kalshi	40%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?	Kalshi	25%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?	Kalshi	16%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?	Kalshi	11%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$6.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Vote Percent - Steven Burt If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steven Burt in the 2026 UT-04 House election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Steven Burt ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appea

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Steven Burt

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steven Burt in the 2026 UT-04 House election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Steven Burt ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appea

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steven Burt in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 7% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Steven Burt ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Steven Burt receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Steven Burt receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Steven Burt receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Steven Burt receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $410
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent

Volume$6.54K

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steven Burt in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Steven Burt ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100,

KALSHI

Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.0¢No 37.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steven Burt in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Steven Burt ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100,

KALSHI

Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steven Burt in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Steven Burt ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100,

KALSHI

Will Steven Burt receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Steven Burt receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steven Burt in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Steven Burt ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100,

KALSHI

Will Steven Burt receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Steven Burt receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steven Burt in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Steven Burt ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100,

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

36¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/rgmXH2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent

UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent

Markets (7)

Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent

Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Will Steven Burt receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget