Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Hamilton mayoral election winner?

Total Volume

$702.85

Events

Markets

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Hamilton mayoral election winner?

Vol

$702.85

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $702.85

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $702.85

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	62%
Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	31%
Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Pamela Mitchell win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Kevin Walker win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Erin Janus win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ejaz Butt win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will David Harrison win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will David Mark Cherkewski win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Nathalie Xian Yi Yan win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$702.85

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2026 If X wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be determined under the contract's Payout Criterion.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Hamilton mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be determined under the contract's Payout Criterion.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Scarlett Gillespie wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcom"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $703
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Pamela Mitchell win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Nathalie Xian Yi Yan win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Kevin Walker win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Erin Janus win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ejaz Butt win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will David Harrison win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will David Mark Cherkewski win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $441
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Hamilton mayoral election winner?

Volume$702.85

Markets13

13 of 13

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KALSHI

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

If Keanin Loomis wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can

KALSHI

Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

If Andrea Horwath wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome ca

KALSHI

Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

If Scarlett Gillespie wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcom

KALSHI

Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

If Rob Cooper wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be

KALSHI

Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

If Sasha Austin wins the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can

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9¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/rhq39n" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Hamilton mayoral election winner?"></iframe>

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Hamilton mayoral election winner?

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Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Hamilton mayoral election winner?

Markets (13)

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Hamilton mayoral election winner?

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton mayoral election?

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