Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?

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When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?

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Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	75%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	66%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?	Kalshi	56%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	18%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

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75%

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About This Event

2028 President of the United States race If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before X 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2028 President of the United States race

If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before X 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Dec 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?

Volume$0.00

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

KALSHI

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

KALSHI

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

KALSHI

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

KALSHI

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Dec 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Dec 1, 2026?

If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Dec 1, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for i

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/rkXgeF" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?"></iframe>

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When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?

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Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?

Markets (5)

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Dec 1, 2026?

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Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Dec 1, 2026?

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