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GroupPOLYMARKET

Bank of Mexico Decision in December?

Bank of Mexico Decision in December?
Vol

PM $1.9K

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Events

1

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Markets

5

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.9K

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

PM $68.6K
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes 75%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes 19.9%
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes 2.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Swiss National Bank decision in December?

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

PM $62.6K
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Yes 81.7%
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 17.5%
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes 0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Canada Decision in December?

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

PM $41.5K
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Yes 52%
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes 47.5%
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

PM $25.8K
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 53.5%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes 26.5%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?Yes 16.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

PM $12.5K
Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 60.5%
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 28.5%
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Reserve Bank of India decision in December

Reserve Bank of India decision in December

PM $12.1K
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 75%
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Yes 14%
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes 10.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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