Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Name: Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
End: 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.05K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Vol

$2.05K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.05K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.05K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	49%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	22%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	18%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	17%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	16%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	10%
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	10%
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	9%
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	8%
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$2.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The res

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 16, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The res

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $366
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $897
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics