GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC: Ilia Topuria Next Fight

Name: UFC: Ilia Topuria Next Fight
End: 2026-06-16T14:56:54.490Z

Total Volume

$951.36

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

UFC: Ilia Topuria Next Fight

Vol

$951.36

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $951.36

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $951.36

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?	Poly	55%
Will Ilia Topuria fight Benoit Saint Denis next?	Poly	46%
Will Ilia Topuria fight Arman Tsarukyan next?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

55%

Top Probability

$951.36

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial anno

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC: Ilia Topuria Next Fight
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 16, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial anno

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $951
* **Total Liquidity:** $152
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $889
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ilia Topuria fight Arman Tsarukyan next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $37
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ilia Topuria fight Benoit Saint Denis next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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