Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

Total Volume

$6.29K

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How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

Vol

$6.29K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.29K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.29K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	88%
Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	80%
Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	77%
Will President Trump sign at least 16 bills into law in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	70%
Will President Trump sign at least 18 bills into law in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	58%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$6.29K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Oct 2026 If the President signs above X bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Joint resolutions are included. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Oct 2026

If the President signs above X bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Joint resolutions are included. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the President signs above 17 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will President Trump sign at least 18 bills into law in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $902
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will President Trump sign at least 16 bills into law in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $677
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $878
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

In Oct 2026 If the President signs above X bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Joint resolutions are included. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Volume$6.29K

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?

If the President signs above 9 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?

If the President signs above 11 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?

If the President signs above 13 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will President Trump sign at least 16 bills into law in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will President Trump sign at least 16 bills into law in Oct 2026?

If the President signs above 15 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will President Trump sign at least 18 bills into law in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will President Trump sign at least 18 bills into law in Oct 2026?

If the President signs above 17 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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74¢

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How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

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Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

Markets (5)

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 16 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 16 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 18 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 18 bills into law in Oct 2026?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 16 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 16 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 18 bills into law in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 18 bills into law in Oct 2026?

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