Name: Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?
End: 2026-08-30T00:00:00.000Z

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Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...? | PredictPedia

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2 markets tracked

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

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Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	Poly	57%
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30?	Poly	12%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 30, 2026 (136 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds the map Cobblestone to the official map pool by the listed date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No".

If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevant market to resolve to "Yes". Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cobblestone is added after the deadline, the relevant market will resolve to 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds the map Cobblestone to the official map pool by the listed date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No".

If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevan"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $33
* **Total Liquidity:** $261
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30? 
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? 
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

135d 11h remaining

Aug 30, 2026 12:00 AM

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Average Yes Price

35¢

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Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

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Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

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Events (1)

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

Markets (2)

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30?

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Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

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Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30?

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