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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Vol

PM $173.1K

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Events

1

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Markets

4

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is $100M at 32%.

Polymarket

  1. $100M32%
  2. $300M20.5%
  3. $700M0.9%
  4. $1B0.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $173.1K

Reported volume ยท provider units

4

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Theo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?" The contract asks whether the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of a token associated with Theo, identified by the provider's link to Theo's X account, will be greater than a stated threshold one day after launch [1]. The provider defines FDV as the total token supply multiplied by the token price [1]. The rules set several conditions. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to count as a launch [1]. The provider defines "1 day after launch" as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch [1]. The stated resolution source is the most liquid price source available [1]. If Theo does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "No" [1]. The listed end time in the saved provider record is 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z [1]. That listed time is a provider field and does not show that a launch has been announced or scheduled. The saved event includes four threshold markets: FDV above $100M, $300M, $700M, and $1B one day after launch [1]. Each has a Yes and No outcome. The prices are snapshots of the provider's observed values at the recorded time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome. Volume and price levels on one threshold should not be read as a measure of liquidity or trader activity, and the four thresholds should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity merely because their prices differ.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a single event-based condition: whether a specific token's FDV, calculated from total supply and price, exceeds a chosen threshold one day after launch [1]. Its value depends on three conditions in the rules: a qualifying launch of a publicly transferable and tradable token, the FDV calculated at the stated post-launch time, and the most liquid price source the provider designates [1]. If no qualifying token launches by the stated deadline, the rules resolve the market to "No" [1]. Because the contract is defined by these mechanics, a reader needs the exact wording of the rules to interpret any threshold, not only the headline title [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-18 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What counts as a launch for this market?

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch [1].

How is the FDV calculated?

The provider states that FDV is determined by multiplying the total token supply by the token price [1].

When is the one-day measurement taken?

The provider defines "1 day after launch" as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch [1].

What happens if no token launches in time?

If Theo does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "No" [1].

Does a price on one threshold show the chance of the others?

No. The listed prices are snapshots of separate threshold markets, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract with its own rules.

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Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketCrypto
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $7.60M
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 99.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 99.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 98.1%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch?

3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $28.9K
3Jane FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes 76.2%
3Jane FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes 73.1%
3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 66%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $1.79M
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes 2.6%
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 2.4%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 2.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $236.2K
Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes 4%
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 3.5%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 2.7%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $81.6K
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes 42%
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 36.5%
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 23%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Tuyo FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Tuyo FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $36.6K
Tuyo FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 63.5%
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 60%
Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes 58%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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