Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

Total Volume

$42.51K

Events

Markets

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How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

Vol

$42.51K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $42.51K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $42.51K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?	Kalshi	100%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?	Kalshi	100%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?	Kalshi	99%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?	Kalshi	93%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views?	Kalshi	10%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 35 million views?	Kalshi	4%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 21 million views?	Kalshi	2%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 30 million views?	Kalshi	1%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 25 million views?	Kalshi	1%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 50 million views?	Kalshi	1%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 40 million views?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$42.51K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The chart published on Oct 13, 2026 If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least X million views on the chart published on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views”, not hours viewed, of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Oct 13, 2026 will be for the week ending

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** The chart published on Oct 13, 2026

If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least X million views on the chart published on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views”, not hours viewed, of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Oct 13, 2026 will be for the week ending 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 9 million views on the chart published on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of
the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows  | Englis"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $42.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 50 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 40 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 35 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 30 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 25 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 21 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $274
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $817
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

Volume$42.51K

Markets11

11 of 11

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KALSHI

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHICulture

CLOSING SOON

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 9 million views on the chart published on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | Englis

KALSHI

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHICulture

CLOSING SOON

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 6 million views on the chart published on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | Englis

KALSHI

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHICulture

CLOSING SOON

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 12 million views on the chart published on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | Engli

KALSHI

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHICulture

CLOSING SOON

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 15 million views on the chart published on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | Engli

KALSHI

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHICulture

CLOSING SOON

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 18 million views on the chart published on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | Engli

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Average Yes Price

37¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/rsd52o" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?"></iframe>

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How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

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Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

Markets (11)

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

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