Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place

Name: British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place
End: 2026-10-24T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.76K

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British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place

Vol

$9.76K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

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Polymarket

markets · $9.76K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.76K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Poly	68%
Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Poly	30%
Will OneBC win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Poly	1%
Will CentreBC win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Poly	0%
Will Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

68%

Top Probability

$9.76K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 24, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a res"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $87.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $313
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will CentreBC win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $305
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will OneBC win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $285
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics