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Events
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What will gas hit the week of October 26?

What will gas hit the week of October 26?
Vol

PM $3.0K

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Events

1

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Markets

15

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is ↓ $4.24 at >99.9%.

Polymarket

  1. ↓ $4.24>99.9%
  2. ↓ $4.2274%
  3. ↑ $4.3450.5%
  4. ↑ $4.3050.5%
  5. ↓ $4.2050.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.0K

Reported volume · provider units

15

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the specified price for options marked ↓ (Low), for any date from Monday, October 26, 2026 through Sunday, November 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified week, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
US gas prices on Election Day

US gas prices on Election Day

PM $6.8K · K 308.7K contracts

Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31?

Kalshi: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4%Rules differK Yes 1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

PM $28.4K · K 43.2K contracts

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.3%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

PM $21.7K · K 30.2K contracts

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.7%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

PM $25.0K · K 41.5K contracts

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.84% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.3%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.75% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.69% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

PM $37.1K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?Yes 0.9%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Yes 0.3%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?Yes 0.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Gas prices on October 30?

Gas prices on October 30?

PM $20.1
Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2100 on October 30?Yes 88%
Will the US national average gas price be $4.2500+ on October 30?Yes 45%
Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2200 and $4.2299 on October 30?Yes 23.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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