Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

Total Volume

$9.23K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

Vol

$9.23K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.23K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.23K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	92%
Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	87%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	87%
Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	82%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	54%
Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	43%
Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Being Heumann be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	35%
Will Ink be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	29%
Will Primetime be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	13%
Will Clarissa be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	12%
Will Fatherland be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	11%
Will The Social Reckoning be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	10%
Will Wildwood be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	10%
Will Cry to Heaven be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$9.23K

Volume

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About This Event

Best Adapted Screenplay | 32 If X is on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and ex

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Best Adapted Screenplay | 32

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and ex

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Wildwood is on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, end"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wildwood be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will The Social Reckoning be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Primetime be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ink be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Fatherland be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Cry to Heaven be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Clarissa be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Being Heumann be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

Volume$9.23K

Markets15

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KALSHI

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If The Odyssey is on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized,

KALSHI

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If The Invite is on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, e

KALSHI

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If La Bola Negra is on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized

KALSHI

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Project Hail Mary is on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, author

KALSHI

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 54.0¢No 46.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Dune: Part Three is on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authori

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40¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/s6nSzM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay"></iframe>

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Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

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Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

Markets (15)

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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