Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will the EFTA II discharge petition reach 218 signatures?

Total Volume

$2.04K

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Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will the EFTA II discharge petition reach 218 signatures?

Vol

$2.04K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.04K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.04K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Discharge Petition No. 27's highest official signature count be at least 218 before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Discharge Petition No. 27's highest official signature count be at least 218 before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027?	Kalshi	47%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$2.04K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Before 12 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027 If Discharge Petition No. 27's highest official signature count is at least 218 signatures before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the highest cumulative number of voting Members of the U.S. House of Representatives whose names the Clerk records as signers of Discharge Petition No. 27 at any time before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027. The petition concerns the Epstein Files Transparency Act II proposal to give state attorneys g

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will the EFTA II discharge petition reach 218 signatures?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 12 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027

If Discharge Petition No. 27's highest official signature count is at least 218 signatures before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the highest cumulative number of voting Members of the U.S. House of Representatives whose names the Clerk records as signers of Discharge Petition No. 27 at any time before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027. The petition concerns the Epstein Files Transparency Act II proposal to give state attorneys g

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Discharge Petition No. 27's highest official signature count is at least 218 signatures before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the highest cumulative number of voting Members of the U.S. House of Representatives whose names the Clerk reco"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Discharge Petition No. 27's highest official signature count be at least 218 before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics