Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will Trump say this week?

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$39.45K

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Markets

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What will Trump say this week?

Vol

$39.45K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $39.45K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $39.45K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

41 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(41)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Steel" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Ilhan / Omar" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Houthi" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Save America Act" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will Trump say "Voter ID" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will Trump say "Dividend / Stimulus" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will Trump say "Canada / Canadian" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will Trump say "Blockade" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
Will Trump say "Golf / Golfer / Golfing" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	88%
Will Trump say "Zacharia" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	85%
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	83%
Will Trump say "Nobel" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	74%
Will Trump say "Melania" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	69%
Will Trump say "TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	67%
Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	65%
Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	59%
Will Trump say "Zohran / Mamdani" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	59%
Will Trump say "Moon" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	54%
Will Trump say "Cuba / Cuban" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	54%
Will Trump say "Lisa Cook" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	44%
Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	40%
Will Trump say "Third Term" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	39%
Will Trump say "Antifa" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	32%
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will Trump say "Cybersecurity / Cyber Security" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	21%
Will Trump say "Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will Trump say "Soleimani" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	15%
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will Trump say "Prediction Market / Predictive Market" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will Trump say "UFO / UAP" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will Trump say "Epstein" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will Trump say "Uranium" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Oct 19, 2026?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$39.45K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Oct 19, 2026 If X / Y or a plural or possessive form Z / Y is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 19, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter/Truth Social. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with sl

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Trump say this week?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Oct 19, 2026

If X / Y or a plural or possessive form Z / Y is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 19, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter/Truth Social. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with sl

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zohran / Mamdani, or a plural or possessive form of Zohran / Mamdani, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 19, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes publ"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $39.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump say "Zohran / Mamdani" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $266
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump say "Zacharia" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump say "Voter ID" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $630
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump say "Uranium" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump say "UFO / UAP" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $187
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump say "Third Term" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $245
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump say "TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $931
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $168
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Trump say "Steel" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $944
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Trump say "Soleimani" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Trump say "Save America Act" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Trump say "Prediction Market / Predictive Market" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $69
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $88
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Trump say "Nobel" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Trump say "Moon" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Trump say "Melania" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Trump say "Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $79
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $188
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Trump say "Lisa Cook" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Trump say "Ilhan / Omar" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Trump say "Houthi" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Trump say "Golf / Golfer / Golfing" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Trump say "Golden Dome" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $170
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Trump say "Epstein" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $167
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Trump say "Dividend / Stimulus" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $585
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Trump say "Cybersecurity / Cyber Security" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $59
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Trump say "Cuba / Cuban" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $26
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $109
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Trump say "Canada / Canadian" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $311
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Trump say "Blockade" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $389
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $539
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $21.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $28
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Trump say "Antifa" before Oct 19, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $136
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will Trump say this week?

Volume$39.45K

Markets41

41 of 41

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KALSHI

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?

If Who are you with / Where are you from, or a plural or possessive form of Who are you with / Where are you from, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 19, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trum

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 19, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 19, 2026?

If Vivek / Ramaswamy, or a plural or possessive form of Vivek / Ramaswamy, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 19, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes pu

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Oct 19, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Oct 19, 2026?

If Ukraine, or a plural or possessive form of Ukraine, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 19, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Ag

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 19, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 19, 2026?

If Superintelligence / Super Intelligence, or a plural or possessive form of Superintelligence / Super Intelligence, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 19, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Tr

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Steel" before Oct 19, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump say "Steel" before Oct 19, 2026?

If Steel, or a plural or possessive form of Steel, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 19, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agenci

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What will Trump say this week?

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Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?

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Events (1)

What will Trump say this week?

Markets (41)

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Steel" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Steel" before Oct 19, 2026?

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Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will Trump say this week?

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Steel" before Oct 19, 2026?

Will Trump say "Steel" before Oct 19, 2026?

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