Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETClimate

Highest temperature in Munich on October 11?

Name: Highest temperature in Munich on October 11?
End: 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$32.91K

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Highest temperature in Munich on October 11?

Vol

$32.91K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $32.91K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $32.91K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?	Poly	100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on October 11?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 11?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 11?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 11?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 11?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 11?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 11?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 11?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on October 11?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$32.91K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Highest temperature in Munich on October 11?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 11, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Oct '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Oct '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $32.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $145.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.23)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $945
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $484
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $7.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on October 11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $601
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETClimate