Name: Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
End: 2026-01-31T15:00:00.000Z

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Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner	Poly	42%
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner	Poly	42%
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs	Poly	37%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Valorant match between Nova Esports and Wolves Esports in the VCT China Kickoff Playoffs, scheduled for January 31 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against Wolves Esports.

This market will resolve to "Wolves Esports" if Wolves Esports win the match against Nova Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Valorant match between Nova Esports and Wolves Esports in the VCT China Kickoff Playoffs, scheduled for January 31 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against Wolves Esports.

This market will resolve to "Wolves Esports" i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.43)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Nova Esports: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [Wolves Esports: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nova Esports: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [Wolves Esports: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nova Esports: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [Wolves Esports: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $144
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Wolves Esports: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Nova Esports: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

44¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/sNDdW6" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs"></iframe>

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Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Markets (5)

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

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Discussion

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