Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Polymarket event asks who wins the college football game between Missouri and Georgia. The rules say the market "will resolve to 'Missouri' if Missouri win the game" and "will resolve to 'Georgia' if Georgia win the game," and that "Overtime is included if played" [1]. A tie resolves 50-50. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by then, the market also resolves 50-50 [1].

The listed end time is 2026-11-14T18:00:00.000Z, which corresponds to the originally scheduled 1:00 PM ET kickoff on Saturday, November 14, 2026 [1]. That date is the listed close time in the contract data, not a confirmed resolution. The rules also state the game was "originally scheduled," so the listed time should be checked against the rules rather than assumed.

Reading the snapshot

The sample was observed at 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z and retrieved at 2026-11-03T10:40:47.290Z. These are different times, and the prices describe the observation time, not necessarily the moment you read this. Prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The included markets are all over/under contracts for this event, not winner contracts. The first-half lines from 21.5 to 33.5 and the second-half lines from 21.5 to 33.5 each show Over at 0.51 and Under at 0.49. The full-game lines at 35.5 and 37.5 show Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 [1]. Every included market has the same listed end time and an "active" status at observation.

Because all included Over prices are identical within each group, the sample does not show which lines are more or less likely than others. Prices within one market are the only comparison the data supports. Do not compare these over/under prices with the winner contract, and do not combine them with any other platform's prices.

What remains uncertain

Coverage is partial. The provider lists 170 markets for this event, and only 12 are included. The selection rule ranked markets by Yes price descending, then volume, so the omitted 158 markets are not shown and cannot be read from this sample. The sample does not reveal the full field of lines.

Volume is not liquidity or a count of traders, and the data does not show how many participants agree with any price. The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are. It also does not include any news about the teams or game, and it contains no confirmed resolution outcome.

References

1. Polymarket: Missouri vs. Georgia. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z.