Name: Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol - More Markets
End: 2026-04-06T10:30:00.000Z

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Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol - More Markets | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 1.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	72%
Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Both Teams to Score	Poly	52%
Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	45%
Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	24%
Spread: Cesena FC (-1.5)	Poly	20%
Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	10%
Spread: FC Südtirol (-1.5)	Poly	10%
Spread: Cesena FC (-2.5)	Poly	8%
Spread: FC Südtirol (-2.5)	Poly	3%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 6, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for April 6 at 6:30 AM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for April 6 at 6:30 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cesena FC" if Cesena FC win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Südtirol".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $361.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: Cesena FC (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Cesena FC: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [FC Südtirol: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: FC Südtirol (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FC Südtirol: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [Cesena FC: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Spread: Cesena FC (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $215
  DATA: [Cesena FC: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [FC Südtirol: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: FC Südtirol (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $116
  DATA: [FC Südtirol: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [Cesena FC: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Over: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Over: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $146
  DATA: [Over: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $186
  DATA: [Over: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $58
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

27¢

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Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol - More Markets

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Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 1.5

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol - More Markets

Markets (9)

Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Both Teams to Score

Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Both Teams to Score

Spread: Cesena FC (-1.5)

Spread: Cesena FC (-1.5)

Spread: FC Südtirol (-1.5)

Spread: FC Südtirol (-1.5)

Spread: Cesena FC (-2.5)

Spread: Cesena FC (-2.5)

Spread: FC Südtirol (-2.5)

Spread: FC Südtirol (-2.5)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Over/Under 1.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol - More Markets

Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Both Teams to Score

Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol: Both Teams to Score

Spread: Cesena FC (-1.5)

Spread: Cesena FC (-1.5)

Spread: FC Südtirol (-1.5)

Spread: FC Südtirol (-1.5)

Spread: Cesena FC (-2.5)

Spread: Cesena FC (-2.5)

Spread: FC Südtirol (-2.5)

Spread: FC Südtirol (-2.5)

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