Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

Name: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada
End: 2026-10-19T07:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$74.15

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

Vol

$74.15

Events

Markets

Polymarket

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Polymarket

markets · $74.15

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $74.15

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada	Poly	76%
Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Edouard Villoslada (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Edouard Villoslada (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$74.15

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Edouard Villoslada in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Edouard Villoslada. This market will resolve to 'Edouard Villoslada' if Edouard Villoslada advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini. If the match is canceled (not p

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Edouard Villoslada in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Edouard Villoslada.

This market will resolve to 'Edouard Villoslada' if Edouard Villoslada advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini.

If the match is canceled (not p

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Edouard Villoslada in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $74
* **Total Liquidity:** $756
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $74
  DATA: [Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [Edouard Villoslada: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Edouard Villoslada (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Edouard Villoslada: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Edouard Villoslada (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Edouard Villoslada: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

Volume$74.15

Markets3

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POLYMARKET

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

LiquidityLOW

Health Score15/100

Leading Outcome76.0%

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Edouard Villoslada (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Edouard Villoslada (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Edouard Villoslada in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini" if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini wins

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Edouard Villoslada (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Edouard Villoslada (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Edouard Villoslada and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Edouard Villoslada" if Edouard Villoslada wins by 2 or more sets than Tobia

LiquidityLOW

Health Score15/100

Leading Outcome50.5%

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

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Oct 19, 2026, 7:30 AM UTC

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Average Yes Price

58¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/sTejJd" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada"></iframe>

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

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Educational Context

Events (1)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

Markets (3)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Edouard Villoslada (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Edouard Villoslada (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Edouard Villoslada (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Edouard Villoslada (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Edouard Villoslada (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Edouard Villoslada (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Edouard Villoslada (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Edouard Villoslada (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

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