Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

Name: How many Codex resets week of October 12?
End: 2026-10-19T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$60.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

Vol

$60.00

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $60.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $60.00

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	Poly	22%
Will there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 12?	Poly	21%
Will there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 12?	Poly	17%
Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	Poly	16%
Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	Poly	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

22%

Top Probability

$60.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 12, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 18, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many Codex resets week of October 12?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 12, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 18, 2026.

Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total.

A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 12, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 18, 2026.

Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $60
* **Total Liquidity:** $327
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.18)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech