$224.31
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2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 49% |
$224.31
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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 22 at 7:00PM ET: If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal w
Prediction markets currently assign a 55% probability to a Montreal Canadiens victory over the Buffalo Sabres on January 22. This price suggests the market views Montreal as a slight favorite, but the odds are effectively a coin toss, indicating high uncertainty. The "Sabres win" contract is consequently priced around 45%. Notably, trading volume is extremely thin, meaning this initial pricing is more indicative of sentiment than a deeply liquid consensus.
The slight edge for Montreal likely reflects their home-ice advantage for this game at the Bell Centre, a historically tough venue for visitors. Fundamentally, both teams are in similar competitive positions, often found in the middle-to-lower tier of the NHL standings, which contributes to the close odds. Recent head-to-head performance may also be a factor, as the Canadiens have frequently had the Sabres' number in recent seasons, a psychological edge that markets can price in. The minimal price difference shows traders see this as a true matchup of comparable, inconsistent teams.
The primary catalyst for odds movement will be the confirmed starting goaltenders and any last-minute injury reports, especially to key offensive players. A significant shift could occur if one team, particularly Buffalo with its high-skill forwards, enters the game on a pronounced hot or cold streak in the days prior. Given the low liquidity, even a modest amount of new money wagered based on pre-game news could swing the probabilities by 10-15 points. The market will remain highly sensitive to any lineup news right up until puck drop.
This market is trading on Polymarket exclusively, with no comparable active market on Kalshi for direct price comparison. The lack of a competing platform and the current thin volume mean the quoted 55% probability is not being arbitraged or pressure-tested. For a bettor, this represents a pure sentiment snapshot from a single, illiquid source, which should be weighed against traditional sportsbook money lines once they are published closer to the game date.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a regular season National Hockey League game between the Buffalo Sabres and the Montreal Canadiens, scheduled for January 22 at 7:00 PM Eastern Time at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. The market will resolve based on the official final result, including any overtime or shootout, as determined by the NHL. This specific matchup is a classic Original Six versus expansion era contest, pitting one of the league's most historic franchises against a team representing a passionate hockey market. The game holds significance within the Atlantic Division standings, where both teams are typically competing for playoff positioning or evaluating their young talent cores. Interest in this market stems from the intense regional rivalry, the unpredictable nature of both teams' performances in recent seasons, and the betting implications for fans and analysts tracking the NHL's daily slate. The resolution conditions account for potential schedule disruptions, with provisions for postponement and a 50-50 split in the rare event of a cancellation, ensuring market integrity.
The rivalry between the Canadiens and Sabres dates back to Buffalo's entry into the NHL in 1970. While not as historically bitter as some Original Six feuds, it is defined by geographic proximity and numerous playoff meetings. A seminal moment occurred in the 1993 Adams Division Finals, where the Canadiens, led by Patrick Roy, defeated the Sabres in a four-game sweep en route to winning the Stanley Cup. The Sabres gained a measure of revenge in the 1998 playoffs, eliminating Montreal in the first round. More recently, the teams have been linked through the 2018 NHL Draft, where the Sabres selected Rasmus Dahlin first overall, and the Canadiens chose Jesperi Kotkaniemi third, a decision that has shaped both franchises' trajectories. The all-time regular season series is competitive, with Montreal holding a slight edge, reflecting the often closely contested nature of their games. Historically, games in Buffalo have been challenging for Montreal, adding another layer to the matchup's context.
Beyond the two points in the NHL standings, this game matters for the evaluation and morale of two franchises in different stages of rebuilding. For the Sabres, a win against an Original Six team at home is crucial for building a winning culture and demonstrating progress to a fan base that has endured a long playoff drought. For the Canadiens, success on the road against a divisional opponent is key for the development of their young core and maintaining momentum in a competitive Atlantic Division. Economically, the game impacts local businesses in Buffalo on game night and influences sports betting markets across North America. The outcome also feeds into broader narratives about team trajectories, affecting media coverage, fan engagement, and even mid-season management decisions regarding player personnel and trade deadlines.
As of the 2023-24 NHL season, both teams are positioned in the middle tier of the Atlantic Division, competing for a playoff spot or evaluating their progress. The Sabres, led by Norris Trophy winner Rasmus Dahlin, are looking to build on a season where they showed significant improvement. The Canadiens continue their rebuild under coach Martin St. Louis, relying on young stars like Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield. The specific goaltending starters for the January 22 game will be confirmed closer to puck drop, based on team schedules and performance. Both rosters are expected to be at full health, barring any last-minute injuries.
The game is scheduled to be played at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. This is the home arena of the Buffalo Sabres, giving them the advantage of the last line change and home crowd support.
According to the market rules, the result is determined by the final score including any shootout. The NHL awards a single goal to the winning team for the shootout result, making that the official final score for market resolution purposes.
In the 2023-24 season, the Sabres won the most recent matchup decisively, 6-1. The overall season series can vary, but recent trends show the games are often high-scoring and competitive, reflecting the offensive talent on both rosters.
Starting goaltenders are typically announced on the morning of the game. For the Sabres, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is the projected starter based on the team's rotation, but official confirmation comes from the team's head coach, Don Granato, several hours before puck drop.
The television broadcast rights vary by region. In the United States, the game is likely to be broadcast on MSG Western New York for Sabres coverage, while in Canada, it will be available on TSN or Sportsnet, depending on national and regional broadcast schedules.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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