Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?

Total Volume

$25.58K

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Markets

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When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?

Vol

$25.58K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $25.58K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.58K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028	Kalshi	90%
Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027	Kalshi	54%
Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	37%
Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	33%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$25.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Bill Belichick - North Carolina If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before X 1, Y Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Bill Belichick - North Carolina

If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before X 1, Y Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or other"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $14.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?

Volume$25.58K

Markets4

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KALSHI

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or other

KALSHI

Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 54.0¢No 46.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027

If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or other

KALSHI

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027

If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or other

KALSHI

Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026

If the head coach of the North Carolina college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the North Carolina college football team must be fired, resign, or other

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53¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/sbBPGp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?"></iframe>

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When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?

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Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

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Events (1)

When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?

Markets (4)

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027

Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027

Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026

Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026

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Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

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When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028

Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027

Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027

Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027

Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026

Bill Belichick out before Dec 1, 2026

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