Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Total Volume

$9.90

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Vol

$9.90

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.90

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.90

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?	Kalshi	93%
Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $150M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?	Kalshi	85%
Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $175M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?	Kalshi	70%
Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $200M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?	Kalshi	53%
Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $225M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?	Kalshi	38%
Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $250M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?	Kalshi	23%
Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $275M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?	Kalshi	16%
Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $300M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$9.90

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Q3 If the Senate Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above X million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission, FEC. Only the first official or non-preliminary release of the relevant statistic will be used to resolve the market, and subsequent revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Q3

If the Senate Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above X million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission, FEC. Only the first official or non-preliminary release of the relevant statistic will be used to resolve the market, and subsequent revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Senate Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above $125 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminary release "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $300M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $275M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $250M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $225M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $200M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $175M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $150M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Volume$9.90

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

If the Senate Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above $125 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminary release

KALSHI

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $150M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $150M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

If the Senate Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above $150 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminary release

KALSHI

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $175M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 69.5¢No 30.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $175M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

If the Senate Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above $175 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminary release

KALSHI

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $200M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $200M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

If the Senate Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above $200 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminary release

KALSHI

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $225M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $225M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

If the Senate Leadership Fund's cash on hand is above $225 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminary release

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/scumcg" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Markets (8)

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $150M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $150M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $175M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $175M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $200M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $200M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $225M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $225M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $150M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $150M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $175M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $175M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $200M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $200M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $225M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Will the Senate Leadership Fund report more than $225M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget