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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Name: Next Prime Minister of Sweden
End: 2026-09-13T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.88M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Vol

$1.88M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.88M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.88M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	62%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	35%
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	3%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	1%
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	0%
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	0%
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	0%
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	0%
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	0%
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$1.88M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, August 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Prime Minister of Sweden
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 13, 2026 (22 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must offi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.88M
* **Total Liquidity:** $172.8K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.87)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $19.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $63.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $20.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $20.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $1.34M
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $283.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $36.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $53.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $22.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $18.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld