Name: Central Bank of Colombia decision in January?
End: 2026-01-30T00:00:00.000Z

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Central Bank of Colombia decision in January? | PredictPedia

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Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?	Poly	89%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the January meeting?	Poly	11%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?	Poly	1%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Central Bank of Colombia decision in January?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 30, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the amount of basis points the target for the monetary policy rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Central Bank of Colombia's January 2026 meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its January 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos

This market may resolve as soon as the Central 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the amount of basis points the target for the monetary policy rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Central Bank of Colombia's January 2026 meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.58)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the January meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $11.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

13d 11h remaining

Jan 30, 2026 12:00 AM

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34¢

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Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?

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Events (1)

Central Bank of Colombia decision in January?

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Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?

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Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?

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Central Bank of Colombia decision in January?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?

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