Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
PM $0
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 0% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes0%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a Polymarket event titled "Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD data stream, and the excerpt states that the market "is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2025-12-19T16:45:00.000Z [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a Solana contract on another platform should check whether that contract uses the same feed, time window, and "greater than or equal to" comparison, since any difference in wording changes what the price means.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-18T06:58:11.977Z [1]. The saved snapshot shows one market with a "Yes" outcome priced at 0 and a "No" outcome priced at 1 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved status at observation was "active" [1].
The coverage record lists one market from this provider event and reports that it is not a partial sample [1]. The source notes that all saved markets for the event are included, but this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1]. No other platform or contract is compared here, so no cross-platform average is shown. The evidence contains no volume figures, so it cannot indicate liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The listed end time of 2025-12-19 is earlier than the snapshot's retrieval date of 2026-10-18, yet the observed status was "active" [1]. The evidence does not explain this difference, so I cannot say whether the contract has closed, resolved, or changed status since observation. The excerpt contains no resolution outcome. The snapshot also does not explain why the prices are 0 and 1, and it contains no information about the Solana price during the window.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This is a short-term price contract on Solana, listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of SOL will be higher or lower at the end of a five-minute window than at its start. Under the listed rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the price at the end of the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract's price reference is specific. The rules name the Chainlink SOL/USD data stream as the resolution source and state that the market concerns that data stream, not other price feeds or spot markets [1]. A trader reading the contract therefore needs to understand the Chainlink feed, since a move on another exchange or index would not by itself determine the outcome. The listed end time for this contract is 16:45 UTC on December 19, 2025, which corresponds to the end of the window shown in the title [1]. That is a contract rule, not an announced event. The record also shows the contract as active at the provider level [1], but that status describes the saved provider record and does not indicate how the market has settled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the Chainlink SOL/USD price over a short window, from the start to the end of the time range in the title [1]. Its usefulness as a reading of market expectations depends on whether the outcome matches the Chainlink feed the rules specify. Because the rules compare the end price with the start price, a market can resolve "Up" even if the price moved and then partly reversed, as long as the final value is at or above the starting value [1]. Prices shown for such contracts are snapshots at the time of observation and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-18 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves "Down" [1].
Which price source is used to settle the contract?
The rules name information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream, as the resolution source. The rules state that the market is about that data stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the window end?
The listed end time is 2025-12-19T16:45:00Z, which matches the 11:45 AM ET end of the window in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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