GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

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China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

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15 markets tracked

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?

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Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?	Kalshi	99%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.4%?	Kalshi	99%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.0%?	Kalshi	97%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.8%?	Kalshi	96%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.4%?	Kalshi	88%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.2%?	Kalshi	86%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.6%?	Kalshi	64%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.8%?	Kalshi	51%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.8%?	Kalshi	47%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 6.0%?	Kalshi	46%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.6%?	Kalshi	46%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.2%?	Kalshi	46%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.0%?	Kalshi	44%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.4%?	Kalshi	12%
Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 6.2%?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Q2 2026 If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above X , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Q2 2026

If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above X , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above 

6.2

, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 6.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 6.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 5.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

Volume$0.00

Markets15

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KALSHI

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?

If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above 3.6 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.4%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.4%?

If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above 3.4 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.0%?

If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above 4 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.8%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.8%?

If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above 3.8 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.4%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.4%?

If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above 4.4 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?

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Events (1)

China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

Markets (15)

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.4%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.4%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.0%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.0%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.8%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.8%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.4%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.4%?

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Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.6%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.4%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.4%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.0%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.0%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.8%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 3.8%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.4%?

Will China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 be above 4.4%?

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