Name: Premiership Rugby: Harlequins vs Sale Sharks
End: 2026-05-02T14:00:00.000Z

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Premiership Rugby: Harlequins vs Sale Sharks | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Sale Sharks win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Sale Sharks win?	Poly	56%
Will Harlequins win?	Poly	43%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	8%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Premiership Rugby: Harlequins vs Sale Sharks
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Premiership Rugby match between Harlequins and Sale Sharks, scheduled for April 25 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026
If Harlequins wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $360
* **Total Liquidity:** $304
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.18)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Harlequins win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sale Sharks win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $359
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

15d 11h remaining

May 02, 2026 2:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

36¢

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Premiership Rugby: Harlequins vs Sale Sharks

Premiership Rugby: Harlequins vs Sale Sharks

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Will Sale Sharks win?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Premiership Rugby: Harlequins vs Sale Sharks

Markets (3)

Will Sale Sharks win?

Will Sale Sharks win?

Will Harlequins win?

Will Harlequins win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Sale Sharks win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Premiership Rugby: Harlequins vs Sale Sharks

Will Sale Sharks win?

Will Sale Sharks win?

Will Harlequins win?

Will Harlequins win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Share

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