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Arizona vs San Diego: Strikeouts

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Arizona vs San Diego: Strikeouts

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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0.0%avg

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14 markets tracked

Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?

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Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	91%
Griffin Canning: 2+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	90%
Merrill Kelly: 3+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	76%
Griffin Canning: 3+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	75%
Merrill Kelly: 4+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	59%
Griffin Canning: 4+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	56%
Merrill Kelly: 5+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	40%
Griffin Canning: 5+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	35%
Griffin Canning: 6+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	20%
Merrill Kelly: 6+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	20%
Griffin Canning: 7+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	10%
Merrill Kelly: 7+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	10%
Merrill Kelly: 8+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	7%
Griffin Canning: 8+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

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$0.00

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About This Event

AZ vs SD (Jul 9) If Griffin Canning records X strikeouts in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Griffin Canning is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Griffin Canning is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Arizona vs San Diego: Strikeouts
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** AZ vs SD (Jul 9)

If Griffin Canning records X strikeouts in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Griffin Canning is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Griffin Canning is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Griffin Canning records 8+ strikeouts in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Griffin Canning is scratched or is not a starting pitch"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Griffin Canning: 8+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Griffin Canning: 7+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Griffin Canning: 6+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Griffin Canning: 5+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Griffin Canning: 4+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Griffin Canning: 3+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Griffin Canning: 2+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Merrill Kelly: 8+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Merrill Kelly: 7+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Merrill Kelly: 6+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Merrill Kelly: 5+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Merrill Kelly: 4+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Merrill Kelly: 3+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Arizona vs San Diego: Strikeouts

Volume$0.00

Markets14

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KALSHI

Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?

If Merrill Kelly records 2+ strikeouts in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Merrill Kelly is scratched or is not a starting pitcher,

KALSHI

Griffin Canning: 2+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Griffin Canning: 2+ strikeouts?

If Griffin Canning records 2+ strikeouts in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Griffin Canning is scratched or is not a starting pitch

KALSHI

Merrill Kelly: 3+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.0¢No 24.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Merrill Kelly: 3+ strikeouts?

If Merrill Kelly records 3+ strikeouts in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Merrill Kelly is scratched or is not a starting pitcher,

KALSHI

Griffin Canning: 3+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.0¢No 25.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Griffin Canning: 3+ strikeouts?

If Griffin Canning records 3+ strikeouts in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Griffin Canning is scratched or is not a starting pitch

KALSHI

Merrill Kelly: 4+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Merrill Kelly: 4+ strikeouts?

If Merrill Kelly records 4+ strikeouts in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Merrill Kelly is scratched or is not a starting pitcher,

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Arizona vs San Diego: Strikeouts

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Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Arizona vs San Diego: Strikeouts

Markets (14)

Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?

Griffin Canning: 2+ strikeouts?

Griffin Canning: 2+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 3+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 3+ strikeouts?

Griffin Canning: 3+ strikeouts?

Griffin Canning: 3+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 4+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 4+ strikeouts?

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Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Arizona vs San Diego: Strikeouts

Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 2+ strikeouts?

Griffin Canning: 2+ strikeouts?

Griffin Canning: 2+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 3+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 3+ strikeouts?

Griffin Canning: 3+ strikeouts?

Griffin Canning: 3+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 4+ strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly: 4+ strikeouts?

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