Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Total Walk-Offs in Pro Baseball Playoffs

Total Volume

$2.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Total Walk-Offs in Pro Baseball Playoffs

Vol

$2.47K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.47K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.47K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

2+ walk-offs

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
2+ walk-offs	Kalshi	81%
3+ walk-offs	Kalshi	42%
4+ walk-offs	Kalshi	24%
5+ walk-offs	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$2.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If the teams in Pro Baseball record at least X walk-offs in the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. X walk-off occurs when a game ends with the home team scoring the winning run in the bottom half of the 9th inning or any extra inning. The run that gives the home team the lead ends the game immediately. The way the run scores does not matter. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Total Walk-Offs in Pro Baseball Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the teams in Pro Baseball record at least X walk-offs in the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. X walk-off occurs when a game ends with the home team scoring the winning run in the bottom half of the 9th inning or any extra inning. The run that gives the home team the lead ends the game immediately. The way the run scores does not matter. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the teams in Pro Baseball record at least 5 walk-offs in the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A walk-off occurs when a game ends with the home team scoring the winning run in the bottom half of the 9th inning or any extra inning. The run that gives the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. 5+ walk-offs
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $186
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. 4+ walk-offs
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. 3+ walk-offs
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $686
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. 2+ walk-offs
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $318
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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