GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2027 If a peer-reviewed paper published in an eligible journal reports the discovery of a material exhibiting the Meissner effect at ambient pressure with a critical temperature of at least 240 K before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes. Eligible journals are those in the first quartile (Q1) of SCImago's condensed matter physics ranking or any journal with an SJR above 1.0. The material need not be a previously researched substance. If this event occurs, the market will close the f

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2027

If a peer-reviewed paper published in an eligible journal reports the discovery of a material exhibiting the Meissner effect at ambient pressure with a critical temperature of at least 240 K before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes. Eligible journals are those in the first quartile (Q1) of SCImago's condensed matter physics ranking or any journal with an SJR above 1.0. The material need not be a previously researched substance. If this event occurs, the market will close the f

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If a peer-reviewed paper published in an eligible journal reports the discovery of a material exhibiting the Meissner effect at ambient pressure with a critical temperature of at least 240 K before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible journals are those in the first"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology