Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICrypto

How low will NEAR get in 2026?

Total Volume

$15.16K

Events

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How low will NEAR get in 2026?

Vol

$15.16K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $15.16K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.16K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$15.16K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below X then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How low will NEAR get in 2026?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below X then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $1.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $938
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICrypto

How low will NEAR get in 2026?

Volume$15.16K

Markets3

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KALSHI

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $0.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of t

KALSHI

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $1.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of t

KALSHI

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $1.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of t

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How low will NEAR get in 2026?

How low will NEAR get in 2026?

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Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

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Events (1)

How low will NEAR get in 2026?

Markets (3)

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

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Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How low will NEAR get in 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

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