Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Golden State Opening Game Starters

Total Volume

$9.84K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Golden State Opening Game Starters

Vol

$9.84K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.84K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.84K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	96%
Will Draymond Green start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	95%
Will Brandin Podziemski start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	95%
Will Yaxel Lendeborg start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	85%
Will De'Anthony Melton start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Al Horford start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	48%
Will Kristaps Porziņģis start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	4%
Will Charles Bassey start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	4%
Will Jimmy Butler start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Moses Moody start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$9.84K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Golden State (2026-27) If X starts the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. In order for the market to resolve X must start the first regular season game for Golden State and be on the floor at the time of the opening tip-off. Y is announced as a starter for the first regular season game for Golden State but doesn't actually start the game due to injury or any other reason, the market res

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Golden State Opening Game Starters
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Golden State (2026-27)

If X starts the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. In order for the market to resolve X must start the first regular season game for Golden State and be on the floor at the time of the opening tip-off. Y is announced as a starter for the first regular season game for Golden State but doesn't actually start the game due to injury or any other reason, the market res

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yaxel Lendeborg starts the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Yaxel Lendeborg must start the first regular season game for Golden "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yaxel Lendeborg start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $670
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $218
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Moses Moody start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kristaps Porziņģis start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jimmy Butler start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $48
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will De'Anthony Melton start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Draymond Green start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Charles Bassey start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Brandin Podziemski start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Al Horford start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Golden State Opening Game Starters

Volume$9.84K

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If Stephen Curry starts the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Stephen Curry must start the first regular season game for Golden Stat

KALSHI

Will Draymond Green start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Draymond Green start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If Draymond Green starts the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Draymond Green must start the first regular season game for Golden St

KALSHI

Will Brandin Podziemski start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Brandin Podziemski start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If Brandin Podziemski starts the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Brandin Podziemski must start the first regular season game for G

KALSHI

Will Yaxel Lendeborg start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Yaxel Lendeborg start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If Yaxel Lendeborg starts the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Yaxel Lendeborg must start the first regular season game for Golden

KALSHI

Will De'Anthony Melton start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHISports

Will De'Anthony Melton start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If De'Anthony Melton starts the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, De'Anthony Melton must start the first regular season game for Gol

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48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/t3beoX" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Golden State Opening Game Starters"></iframe>

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Golden State Opening Game Starters

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Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Golden State Opening Game Starters

Markets (10)

Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Draymond Green start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Draymond Green start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Brandin Podziemski start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Brandin Podziemski start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Yaxel Lendeborg start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Yaxel Lendeborg start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will De'Anthony Melton start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will De'Anthony Melton start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Golden State Opening Game Starters

Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Stephen Curry start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Draymond Green start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Draymond Green start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Brandin Podziemski start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Brandin Podziemski start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Yaxel Lendeborg start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Yaxel Lendeborg start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will De'Anthony Melton start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will De'Anthony Melton start the game for the Golden State Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

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