
30-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
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30-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes

K 0 contracts
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Target Yield: 5.41853% at 50.5%.
Kalshi
- Target Yield: 5.41853%50.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 20 - 11:00AM EDT to 11:15AM EDT If the close yield (%) of the 1-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 11:15 AM EDT on Oct 20, 2026 is at least the opening target yield, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 11:15 AM EDT on Oct 20, 2026. The 30-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US30Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 30-year U.S. Treasury Bond as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. Yields are expressed as annualized percentages. The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time. If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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PM $21.2K · K 6.3K contractsWill the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.43% by Oct 30, 2026?
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
