Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

Name: West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
End: 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.29K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

Vol

$1.29K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.29K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.29K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	Poly	90%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$1.29K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The West Virginia Citizenship Requirement to Vote in West Virginia Elections Amendment (SJR 9) is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in West Virginia in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend the West Virginia Constitution to provide that only citizens of the United States may vote in elections in West Virginia. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 4, 2026 (24 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The West Virginia Citizenship Requirement to Vote in West Virginia Elections Amendment (SJR 9) is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in West Virginia in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend the West Virginia Constitution to provide that only citizens of the United States may vote in elections in West Virginia.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.3% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics