GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Name: Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
End: 2026-12-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$372.93K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Vol

$372.93K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $372.93K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $372.93K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

26 markets tracked

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(26)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	22%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	16%
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	14%
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	2%
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	2%
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	1%
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	1%
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	1%
Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	1%
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

22%

Top Probability

$372.93K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". O

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. 

In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

O

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $372.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $444.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.84)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $13.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $61.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $10.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $8.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $9.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $104.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.3% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $21.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $17.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $7.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will  Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $30.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics