Name: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
End: 2026-04-26T12:00:00.000Z

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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?	Poly	41%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	Poly	34%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Poly	27%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 26, 2026 (10 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, April 26, 2026 between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Real Sociedad de Fútbol.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 26, 2026
If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no mak"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $235
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $154
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

9d 11h remaining

Apr 26, 2026 12:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

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Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Markets (3)

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

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Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

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