Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

Total Volume

$10.08K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $10.08K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.08K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

15%

Top Probability

$10.08K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date. The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date. The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified countr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.55M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

15¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/tI4AOY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)